My thoughts on rights issuance
When I think of rights, I think of share dilution. More shares at cheap price for existing shareholders, some would scurry to sell off once they get hold of the rights share before the full dilution takes effect.
Not all rights are right to get. However, if you decided not to get then you might be better off selling away the shares instead of holding them (before full dilution takes place as mentioned). A few questions you can ask yourself before taking the leap of faith are - why is the company issuing rights? This in turn gives answer to what it would do with the money gathered. Most of the time it is for paying off debts. Fair enough. But what's next? How are they going to turn their business around? What data did you get your convictions from? How are you able to minimise your risk?
(From a bad past experience, when a company can't turn its business around fast enough, it's share price would plummet faster than one could finish swearing and starts to react. Plummeting could continue even after price dilution effect has taken place.)
To get or not to get? To jump or not to jump?
***
How much deep is the discount and then do the Maths?
ReplyDeleteThrowing good money after bad money or paying one off premium to recover some bad money to reduce losses?
Hmm... that depends on the nature of the business.
DeleteSometimes discount is hard to calculate because not all assets or services of a company can be valued meaningfully.
Aiyo. Discount to last market closing price and discount to ex right theoretical price.
DeleteI see. So the discount probably can help to break even or buffer some loss (depending on how high you bought the shares initially for).
Delete